Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.343410 3.544594 3.758092 4.002654 4.276479 4.575315 4.928450
2024-10-20 2.996021 3.255454 3.543289 3.889701 4.300023 4.776817 5.382501
2024-10-27 2.714077 3.002934 3.334253 3.748575 4.262164 4.891499 5.744405
2024-11-03 2.598631 2.928724 3.320608 3.831166 4.496833 5.364442 6.637796
2024-11-10 2.521046 2.890952 3.344778 3.960423 4.805813 5.983545 7.878627
2024-11-17 2.373960 2.754889 3.233052 3.900753 4.853534 6.251245 8.678375
2024-11-24 2.235261 2.619055 3.109910 3.812092 4.847666 6.438381 9.406519
2024-12-01 2.123403 2.510096 3.013300 3.749735 4.871007 6.674583 10.306238
2024-12-08 2.031732 2.421592 2.937228 3.708462 4.919920 6.961706 11.424223
2024-12-15 1.981707 2.385033 2.928901 3.764119 5.128058 7.570335 13.555841
2024-12-22 1.878077 2.270060 2.803214 3.631822 5.009500 7.548880 14.147360
2024-12-29 1.830016 2.228655 2.779139 3.653068 5.154229 8.075280 16.607134
2025-01-05 1.745986 2.140336 2.692210 3.585167 5.165462 8.403357 19.087061
2025-01-12 1.665829 2.053687 2.602802 3.506299 5.148740 8.680086 21.884038
2025-01-19 1.584784 1.962074 2.500897 3.398817 5.065373 8.789239 24.320747
2025-01-26 1.556624 1.944678 2.509310 3.476676 5.357301 9.955909 35.806054
2025-02-02 1.538541 1.940689 2.537714 3.592304 5.754146 11.661836 66.332730
2025-02-09 1.486216 1.883448 2.478988 3.547028 5.796639 12.328388 101.099115
2025-02-16 1.432368 1.821541 2.409309 3.475600 5.769038 12.760655 157.849712
2025-02-23 1.386747 1.770068 2.353566 3.425300 5.783901 13.384474 349.313979
2025-03-02 1.347740 1.726956 2.308985 3.392156 5.835647 14.218547 6819.541032
2025-03-09 1.327105 1.710845 2.307510 3.441392 6.104693 16.293539 NaN
2025-03-16 1.278012 1.649070 2.227154 3.329262 5.934311 16.079899 NaN